ADENOVA DINARA

Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) in Hydrogeology and Engineering Geology

Project goal:

Scientific substantiation and geoinformation support for the rational use and protection of fresh groundwater in the Shu and Talas transboundary basins in the event of threats arising due to increased water intake and groundwater pollution in the border areas of the Kyrgyz Republic.

Project objectives:

To achieve the project goal, the following tasks are planned to be implemented:

1. Analysis and assessment of changes in the capacitive and renewable groundwater resources of the Shu and Talas transboundary basins under the impact of climatic factors and growing anthropogenic loads.
2. Analysis and assessment of provision, status and prospects for the use of transboundary fresh groundwater resources in the Shu and Talas basins in the Zhambyl region and the Kyrgyz Republic.
3. Database building of transboundary aquifers in the Shu and Talas basins to evaluate the resource potential of fresh groundwater for centralized water supply, land irrigation and pasture watering.
4. Development and creation of a regional hydrogeological model of the Shu and Talas basins to predict options for the likelihood of transboundary threats due to increased water intake and groundwater pollution in the border areas of the Kyrgyz Republic.
5. Development and creation of a geo-information-analytical subsystem of transboundary groundwater resources in the Zhambyl region for evaluation, forecasting and management decisions on their use and protection.

According to international law, transboundary waters include any surface or groundwater that flows through the territory of several states. These water sources are strategic for regional and national water security and stability. The efficient use of transboundary fresh groundwater is limited by the lack of a reliable assessment of their potential. Lack of reliable scientific evidence and lack of information can lead to international conflicts. They can be avoided through rational management of transboundary groundwater resources, which should be based on the analysis and use in management of reliable information on transboundary aquifers at the regional and national levels. The research results are relevant for ensuring water security in the Zhambyl region in the presence of transboundary threats to the reduction of available water resources and further sustainable socio-economic development of the region.
The results obtained during the implementation of the project will contribute to solving scientific and applied problems of transboundary aquifers in the arid regions of Central Asia. The practice of creating geoinformation databases and regional hydrogeological models of transboundary aquifers, geoinformation-analytical subsystem of transboundary groundwater resources is applicable to other border regions of Kazakhstan. The research results are aimed at solving the problems of sustainable water supply for the population and economic sectors in the context of climate and anthropogenic changes at the transboundary level.

The scientific novelty of the project research lies in the creation of a regional hydrogeological model of the Shu and Talas basins to predict the risks of transboundary threats due to increased water withdrawal and groundwater pollution in the border areas of the Kyrgyz Republic, as well as in the development of a geoinformation and analytical subsystem of transboundary groundwater resources in the Zhambyl region for assessing, forecasting and making management decisions on their use and protection.

The significance of the project on a national and international scale is that, as a result of scientific research, approaches and methods will be developed for identifying and assessing transboundary problems of groundwater use in the Republic of Kazakhstan and the Kyrgyz Republic, which will be of interest to other transboundary groundwater basins (border with Russia, China, Uzbekistan).

The research results are relevant for ensuring water security in the Zhambyl region in the presence of transboundary threats to the reduction of available water resources and further sustainable socio-economic development of the region.

Results of completed work for 2024:

1. An analysis of factual data, stock and analytical materials based on world and domestic experience on the patterns of formation and distribution of transboundary groundwater in the Zhambyl region was carried out;
2. The trend of changes in the capacity and renewable resources of groundwater in the Shu transboundary basin under the influence of climatic factors and anthropogenic loads was analyzed and assessed;
3.  Field expeditionary research of the territory of the Shu transboundary basin with ecological and hydrogeological study of water points and water manifestations and assessment of the state of use of groundwater were carried out;
4. A geoinformation database of transboundary aquifers of the Shu basin has been developed and created;
5. Numerical maps of parameters were constructed and a hydrodynamic model of the Shu transboundary basin was created.

Перечень ТРУ по ИРН